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Alexis Lafrenière or Brock Nelson? Week 3

Points leagues, Week 3 (Oct 12-18): start Alexis Lafrenière, narrowly. Both count 2 games left in Week 3 (Oct 12-18), so it comes down to value per game: 2.03 fantasy points to 2.02. Who to start in fantasy hockey in Week 3 (Oct 12-18), LWs ranked 14th and 27th at the position.

FP/G
2.03
Games
2
Week proj.
4.06

Week 3 pick in points leagues.

Brock Nelson
CCOLL2 PP2
FP/G
2.02
Games
2
Week proj.
4.04

Week 3 pick in categories leagues.

The Week 3 call

Points leagues, Week 3 (Oct 12-18): start Alexis Lafrenière, narrowly. Both count 2 games left in Week 3 (Oct 12-18), so it comes down to value per game: 2.03 fantasy points to 2.02.

Categories leagues: Brock Nelson instead, -0.7 category value for the week to -1.1, because his category mix is worth more there.

Over NYR's last 5 games Alexis Lafrenière played 5 games, 19:37 a night with 3:55 on the power play: line 1 by even-strength ice time and the first power-play unit.

Alexis Lafrenière's ice time is up: 19:37 over his last 5 games against 18:02 on the board.

Over COL's last 5 games Brock Nelson played 5 games, 17:07 a night with 1:30 on the power play: line 2 by even-strength ice time and the second power-play unit.

Brock Nelson's ice time is down: 17:07 over his last 5 games against 19:09 on the board.

COL has a back-to-back in Week 3.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Week 3 (Oct 12-18), side by side

This weekAlexis LafrenièreBrock Nelson
Games, Week 333
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 434
Line by ice timeLine 1Line 2
Power-play unitPP1PP2
TOI, last games19:37 (5)17:07 (5)
TOI, board18:0219:09
PP TOI, last games3:551:30
Shots, last games2.81.4
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points4.14.0
Projected category value-1.1-0.7

Schedule: Alexis Lafrenière Tue TBL, Thu @NJD, Sat @CBJ. Brock Nelson Tue @DAL, Wed DAL, Fri PIT.

Projections are the board's per-game value times the games counted. A skater listed out, or who missed his team's last three games, counts none. A goalie counts his team's games times his share of its recent starts. Lines and power-play units are by ice time over the team's last five games. Stats and schedule from the NHL; injury designations from ESPN's public NHL injury list.

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The rest-of-season call

Season-long, points leagues: Alexis Lafrenière, 2.03 fantasy points per game to 2.02.

Categories leagues: Brock Nelson instead, 93rd overall against 100th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Category (z per game)Alexis LafrenièreBrock Nelson
A assists-0.5-0.3
G goals1.10.7
+/- plus-minus0.20.0
BLK blocked shots-0.7-0.1
HIT hits0.1-0.7
PPP power-play points-0.30.4
SOG shots on goal-0.4-0.4

Other close calls

Week 3 streamers and goalie starts · NHL waiver wire · Rest-of-season rankings

Common questions

  • Should I start Alexis Lafrenière or Brock Nelson in Week 3?

    Points leagues, Week 3 (Oct 12-18): start Alexis Lafrenière, narrowly. Both count 2 games left in Week 3 (Oct 12-18), so it comes down to value per game: 2.03 fantasy points to 2.02. Categories leagues: Brock Nelson instead, -0.7 category value for the week to -1.1, because his category mix is worth more there. Over NYR's last 5 games Alexis Lafrenière played 5 games, 19:37 a night with 3:55 on the power play: line 1 by even-strength ice time and the first power-play unit. Alexis Lafrenière's ice time is up: 19:37 over his last 5 games against 18:02 on the board. Over COL's last 5 games Brock Nelson played 5 games, 17:07 a night with 1:30 on the power play: line 2 by even-strength ice time and the second power-play unit. Brock Nelson's ice time is down: 17:07 over his last 5 games against 19:09 on the board. COL has a back-to-back in Week 3.

  • Who is better for the rest of the season, Alexis Lafrenière or Brock Nelson?

    Season-long, points leagues: Alexis Lafrenière, 2.03 fantasy points per game to 2.02. Categories leagues: Brock Nelson instead, 93rd overall against 100th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Alexis Lafrenière or Brock Nelson?

    Alexis Lafrenière is ahead per game in 3 (goals, plus-minus, hits); Brock Nelson in 4 (assists, blocked shots, power-play points, shots on goal).

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 10:41 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number