Week 1 fantasy football rankings 2026, projected from market data
Every position for Week 1, ordered by market-based projected fantasy points. A number, not an opinion.
By The Parlae desk ·
Josh Allen is the QB1 at 20.1 standard scoring points in the Week 1 market-based projections, with Jahmyr Gibbs the RB1 at 19.2, Ja'Marr Chase the WR1 at 13.2 and Trey McBride the TE1 at 7.9.
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DEF Standard
16 teams ranked by matchup for Week 1| Rank | Player | Opp. |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA Chargers DefenseDEF · LAC · Matchup rank 1 | vs. ARI |
| 2 | Philadelphia DefenseDEF · PHI · Matchup rank 2 | vs. WAS |
| 3 | Buffalo DefenseDEF · BUF · Matchup rank 3 | @ HOU |
| 4 | Jacksonville DefenseDEF · JAX · Matchup rank 4 | vs. CLE |
| 5 | Minnesota DefenseDEF · MIN · Matchup rank 6 | vs. GB |
| 6 | Seattle DefenseDEF · SEA · Matchup rank 7 | vs. NE |
| 7 | Houston DefenseDEF · HOU · Matchup rank 8 | vs. BUF |
| 8 | Denver DefenseDEF · DEN · Matchup rank 10 | @ KC |
| 9 | New England DefenseDEF · NE · Matchup rank 11 | @ SEA |
| 10 | Detroit DefenseDEF · DET · Matchup rank 12 | vs. NO |
| 11 | Pittsburgh DefenseDEF · PIT · Matchup rank 13 | vs. ATL |
| 12 | Cleveland DefenseDEF · CLE · Matchup rank 14 | @ JAX |
| 13 | Tennessee DefenseDEF · TEN · Matchup rank 15 | vs. NYJ |
| 14 | Baltimore DefenseDEF · BAL · Matchup rank 16 | @ IND |
| 15 | LA Rams DefenseDEF · LAR · Matchup rank 17 | vs. SF |
| 16 | Atlanta DefenseDEF · ATL · Matchup rank 18 | @ PIT |
DEF has no market-based fantasy-points projection: the markets cover individual defensive player stats (sacks, interceptions), never a team DST total. This is a Matchup rank for Week 1, not a market-based projection: each defense's Week 1 opponent implied team total (from the game's spread and total) combined with the defense's own fantasy points allowed per game (2025 season). Lower rank is a better spot.
This is not a projection we made. Every number is the fantasy points implied by the player markets posted for Week 1: yards, catches and touchdowns, with the margin removed and scored in Standard. Half PPR and standard are the same projections with the projected catches counted at that format's rate, and nothing else changes. A player with only a touchdown projection, or no projection at all, is listed below the ranked board without a number. The season boards sit on the fantasy rankings page; this one is the week.
Parlae start or sit calls this season: 8,898 right of 14,682 graded, 16,800 published. Misses stay up. See the record.
By the Parlae deskRankings updated Sep 11, 2026 at 10:22 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number
checked 53 days ago