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Week 1 fantasy football rankings 2026, projected from market data

Every position for Week 1, ordered by market-based projected fantasy points. A number, not an opinion.

By The Parlae desk ·

Josh Allen is the QB1 at 20.1 standard scoring points in the Week 1 market-based projections, with Jahmyr Gibbs the RB1 at 19.2, Ja'Marr Chase the WR1 at 13.2 and Trey McBride the TE1 at 7.9.

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QB Standard

28 projected for Week 1
RankPlayerOpp.
1Josh AllenQB · BUF · 20.1 pts@ HOU
2Jalen HurtsQB · PHI · 20.0 ptsvs. WAS
3Lamar JacksonQB · BAL · 19.8 pts@ IND
4Jaxson DartQB · NYG · 18.9 ptsvs. DAL
5Justin HerbertQB · LAC · 18.6 ptsvs. ARI
6Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX · 18.3 ptsvs. CLE
7Kyler MurrayQB · MIN · 18.1 ptsvs. GB
8Tyler ShoughQB · NO · 17.6 pts@ DET
9Joe BurrowQB · CIN · 17.5 ptsvs. TB
10Dak PrescottQB · DAL · 17.3 pts@ NYG

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11Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI · 17.3 pts@ CAR
12Baker MayfieldQB · TB · 17.0 pts@ CIN
13Patrick MahomesQB · KC · 16.7 ptsvs. DEN
14Daniel JonesQB · IND · 16.7 ptsvs. BAL
15Jared GoffQB · DET · 16.6 ptsvs. NO
16Bo NixQB · DEN · 16.6 pts@ KC
17Jordan LoveQB · GB · 16.4 pts@ MIN
18Bryce YoungQB · CAR · 15.9 ptsvs. CHI
19Malik WillisQB · MIA · 15.5 pts@ LV
20Jacoby BrissettQB · ARI · 15.1 pts@ LAC
21C.J. StroudQB · HOU · 15.0 ptsvs. BUF
22Jayden DanielsQB · WAS · 14.5 pts@ PHI
23Cam WardQB · TEN · 14.5 ptsvs. NYJ
24Aaron RodgersQB · PIT · 14.2 ptsvs. ATL
25Kirk CousinsQB · LV · 13.6 ptsvs. MIA
26Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE · 12.0 pts@ JAX
27Tua TagovailoaQB · ATL · 11.0 pts@ PIT
28Geno SmithQB · NYJ · 10.1 pts@ TEN

The Week 1 QB board on its own page

NFL bye weeks

This is not a projection we made. Every number is the fantasy points implied by the player markets posted for Week 1: yards, catches and touchdowns, with the margin removed and scored in Standard. Half PPR and standard are the same projections with the projected catches counted at that format's rate, and nothing else changes. A player with only a touchdown projection, or no projection at all, is listed below the ranked board without a number. The season boards sit on the fantasy rankings page; this one is the week.

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Parlae start or sit calls this season: 8,898 right of 14,682 graded, 16,800 published. Misses stay up. See the record.

By the Parlae deskRankings updated Sep 11, 2026 at 10:22 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number

checked 53 days ago