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Start Aaron Rodgers or Josh Allen? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:16 PM ET.

Start Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
23.0
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs QB
18.1
16th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
93 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.0 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.5, a gap of 6.4. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (24.3 and 21.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 24.3 and 21.6 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 23.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.8 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Josh Allen 6.4 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Josh Allen and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYJ, with 0.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 9, Josh Allen played 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 273 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 78 of 82 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 9 against MIN: 21 of 31 passes for 234 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Josh Allen?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers.

  • Should I drop Josh Allen for Aaron Rodgers?

    No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Allen over Aaron Rodgers.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board