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Start Josh Allen or C.J. Stroud? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:21 AM ET.

Start Josh Allen over C.J. Stroud

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
23.0
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs QB
18.1
16th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
93 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 8 games), C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Allen over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Josh Allen over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.0 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 5.6. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (24.3 and 21.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and C.J. Stroud at 185.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 24.3 and 21.6 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 23.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.8 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Josh Allen 5.6 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYJ, with 0.1 interceptions a game.

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Josh Allen played 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 273 times and threw an average of 8.9 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 78 of 82 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 9 against MIN: 21 of 31 passes for 234 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 16 yards.

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Josh Allen?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 8 games), C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Allen over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop Josh Allen for C.J. Stroud?

    No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (23.2 a game over 8 games), C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Allen over C.J. Stroud.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board