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Start Tez Johnson or Adonai Mitchell? Week 7

Updated Oct 24, 7:16 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Emeka Egbuka: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Adonai Mitchell: Doubtful to Questionable (Finger, Surgery) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR
29.4
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
11 of 100 at WR
Snap share
34%
Through Week 6
Target share
7%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR
23.2
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at WR
Snap share
76%
Through Week 2
Target share
25%
Through Week 2

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Tez Johnson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tez Johnson projects 45 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 17 (1.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tez Johnson over Adonai Mitchell, 6.6 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tez Johnson over Adonai Mitchell in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tez Johnson at 6.5 points and Adonai Mitchell at 6.5, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Tez Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tez Johnson is 29 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 27 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Tez Johnson 0.1 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tez Johnson and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 110 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Tez Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tez Johnson played 34 percent of TB snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 3 against MIN: 16 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 4 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell played 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 56 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Tez Johnson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tez Johnson projects 45 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 17 (1.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tez Johnson over Adonai Mitchell, 6.6 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Tez Johnson for Adonai Mitchell?

    No. Keep Tez Johnson: he projects 45 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 17 (1.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tez Johnson over Adonai Mitchell, 6.6 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board