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Start Xavier Hutchinson or Adonai Mitchell? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 3:21 AM ET.

Start

WR · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
7.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs WR
37.1
5th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at WR
Snap share
70%
Through Week 9
Target share
23%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
6.3
fantasy pts
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
45 of 100 at WR
Snap share
58%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Xavier Hutchinson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Xavier Hutchinson projects 32 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.0 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 25 (3.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Xavier Hutchinson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Adonai Mitchell over Xavier Hutchinson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Adonai Mitchell at 7.4 points and Xavier Hutchinson at 6.3, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell this week yet, so his 7.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (6.5, 5.4 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 5.4 and 10.2 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Xavier Hutchinson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Xavier Hutchinson is 26 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (6, 6 and 7 market sources).

That puts Adonai Mitchell 1.1 points ahead of Xavier Hutchinson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 37.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 154 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against BUF.

Xavier Hutchinson and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Adonai Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Adonai Mitchell played 70 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 50 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 8 against LV: 39 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 142 yards, 1 touchdown.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 9 against KC: 56 of 63 snaps, 7 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Xavier Hutchinson played 58 percent of HOU snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 5 against TEN: 27 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 6 against JAX: 34 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 7 against NYG: 34 of 61 snaps, 2 carries for 12 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 9 against LAC: 57 of 70 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Xavier Hutchinson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Xavier Hutchinson projects 32 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.0 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 25 (3.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Xavier Hutchinson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Adonai Mitchell?

    No. Keep Xavier Hutchinson: he projects 32 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.0 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 25 (3.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Adonai Mitchell over Xavier Hutchinson.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board