Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Xavier Hutchinson? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 3:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Xavier Hutchinson over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Market projects
- 4.7
- recent weeks avg
- CLE D vs WR
- 29.3
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 58%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 17%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 3.9
- recent weeks avg
- TEN D vs WR
- 40.7
- most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Xavier Hutchinson 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Xavier Hutchinson over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Xavier Hutchinson over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Xavier Hutchinson at 4.7 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Xavier Hutchinson this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (3.7 and 5.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Xavier Hutchinson yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 5.7 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Xavier Hutchinson 0.8 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Xavier Hutchinson and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE.
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.
By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Xavier Hutchinson played 58 percent of HOU snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 5 against TEN: 27 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 6 against JAX: 34 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 7 against NYG: 34 of 61 snaps, 2 carries for 12 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.
Xavier Hutchinson, Week 9 against LAC: 57 of 70 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.
He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.
He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Xavier Hutchinson 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Xavier Hutchinson over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Xavier Hutchinson?
No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Xavier Hutchinson 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Xavier Hutchinson over Brian Thomas Jr.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?
Week 10 on the board
- Is Brian Thomas Jr. playing Week 10?
- Is Xavier Hutchinson playing Week 10?
- Jaguars depth chart
- Texans depth chart
- Week 10 WR rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings