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Start AJ Barner or Michael Mayer? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start

TE · LV · vs SEA

Market projects
7.4
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs TE
10.2
5th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
46 of 100 at TE
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
15%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · SEA · at LV

Market projects
7.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs TE
18.2
4th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at TE
Snap share
87%
Through Week 9
Target share
14%
Through Week 9

Should I drop AJ Barner for Michael Mayer?

Not on these numbers alone. AJ Barner projects 47 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 7 games) and Michael Mayer 49 (7.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Mayer over AJ Barner.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Michael Mayer over AJ Barner in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Michael Mayer at 7.4 points and AJ Barner at 7.3, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Michael Mayer this week yet, so his 7.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (8.1, 6.5 and 7.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for AJ Barner this week yet, so his 7.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (7.0, 8.2 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Michael Mayer yet. His market-based projections were 8.1, 6.5 and 7.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for AJ Barner yet. His market-based projections were 7.0, 8.2 and 6.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Michael Mayer 0.1 points ahead of AJ Barner on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Michael Mayer and LV host SEA on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

SEA allowed 10.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 38 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against SEA.

AJ Barner and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 4th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 56 yards and a touchdown a game against LV.

By points allowed to the position, AJ Barner has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Mayer is not on the injury report.

AJ Barner is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Michael Mayer played 81 percent of LV snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Mayer, Week 6 against BUF: 52 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Michael Mayer, Week 7 against LAR: 56 of 68 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Michael Mayer, Week 8 against NYJ: 50 of 63 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards.

Michael Mayer, Week 9 against SF: 38 of 50 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 9, AJ Barner played 87 percent of SEA snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Barner, Week 6 against DEN: 79 of 85 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 7 against KC: 55 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 4 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 42 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 8 against CHI: 60 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 23 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 9 against ARI: 48 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 3 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Mayer played 13 games for LV and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 132 air yards.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, AJ Barner played 17 games for SEA and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 248 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for Michael Mayer?

    Not on these numbers alone. AJ Barner projects 47 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 7 games) and Michael Mayer 49 (7.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Mayer over AJ Barner.

  • Should I drop Michael Mayer for AJ Barner?

    Not on these numbers alone. Michael Mayer projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.0 a game over 7 games) and AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Mayer over AJ Barner.

Should I drop Michael Mayer?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board