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Start A.J. Brown or Michael Wilson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET.

Start

WR · NE · at CHI · Questionable

Market projects
15.3
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
80 of 100 at WR
Snap share
60%
Through Week 6
Target share
23%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects
14.5
recent weeks avg
DEN D vs WR
29.3
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at WR
Snap share
90%
Through Week 6
Target share
25%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start A.J. Brown over Michael Wilson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 15.3 points and Michael Wilson at 14.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Michael Wilson this week yet, so his 14.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (13.4, 16.7 and 13.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 17 and Michael Wilson at 77.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 69 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Michael Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 13.4, 16.7 and 13.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 14.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts A.J. Brown 0.8 points ahead of Michael Wilson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Michael Wilson and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

By points allowed to the position, A.J. Brown has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Michael Wilson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 60 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson played 90 percent of ARI snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 3 against SF: 81 of 87 snaps, 17 targets and 11 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown.

Michael Wilson, Week 4 against NYG: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 5 against DET: 61 of 73 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 6 against LAR: 66 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board