Start Michael Wilson or Carnell Tate? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Michael Wilson over Carnell Tate

Start

Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 14.5; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs WR: 29.3; 7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 43 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 6
Target share: 25%; Through Week 6

Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 12.2; fantasy pts
CLE D vs WR: 33.5; 12th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Michael Wilson for Carnell Tate?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Michael Wilson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Michael Wilson over Carnell Tate. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Michael Wilson over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Michael Wilson at 14.5 points and Carnell Tate at 12.2, a gap of 2.3. No player market is posted for Michael Wilson this week yet, so his 14.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (13.4, 16.7 and 13.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Michael Wilson at ADP 77 and Carnell Tate at 81.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.2 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 59 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (4, 5 and 9 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Michael Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 13.4, 16.7 and 13.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 14.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Michael Wilson 2.3 points ahead of Carnell Tate on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 33.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 155 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Michael Wilson and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Michael Wilson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 81 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 34 of 46 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson played 90 percent of ARI snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 3 against SF: 81 of 87 snaps, 17 targets and 11 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown.

Michael Wilson, Week 4 against NYG: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 5 against DET: 61 of 73 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 6 against LAR: 66 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Wilson for Carnell Tate?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Michael Wilson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Michael Wilson over Carnell Tate. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Carnell Tate for Michael Wilson?
No. Keep Carnell Tate: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Michael Wilson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Michael Wilson over Carnell Tate.