Start AJ Dillon or Isaiah Davis? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start Isaiah Davis over AJ Dillon in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Isaiah Davis at 3.5 points and AJ Dillon at 2.9, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. AJ Dillon's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Isaiah Davis this week yet, so his 3.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (5.5, 2.9 and 1.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Isaiah Davis yet. His market-based projections were 5.6, 2.9 and 1.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 3.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Isaiah Davis is 0.1 touchdowns (12 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.9 fantasy points for AJ Dillon, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for AJ Dillon is 13 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (7 and 11 market sources).

That puts Isaiah Davis 0.5 points ahead of AJ Dillon on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Isaiah Davis and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 101 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 39 more yards.

AJ Dillon and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Isaiah Davis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isaiah Davis is not on the injury report.

AJ Dillon is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Isaiah Davis played 12 percent of NYJ snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Davis, Week 4 against CHI: 2 of 32 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Isaiah Davis, Week 5 against CLE: 10 of 70 snaps, 2 carries for 8 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Isaiah Davis, Week 6 against NE: 8 of 62 snaps, 7 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Davis played 16 games for NYJ and scored 71.2 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing RB59.

He ran 43 times for 236 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 21 of 28 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Isaiah Davis over Brian Robinson.
• Start Isaiah Davis over CJ Donaldson.
• Start Isaiah Davis over Corey Kiner.
• Start CJ Donaldson over AJ Dillon.
• Start Devin Singletary over AJ Dillon.
• Start Jaylen Wright over AJ Dillon.