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Start Jaylen Wright or AJ Dillon? Week 7

Updated Oct 24, 12:46 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Jaylen Wright: Listed Questionable (Foot) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects
3.9
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB
21.9
14th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
13%
Through Week 5
Target share
0%
Through Week 5
Sit

RB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects
2.9
fantasy pts
TB D vs RB
17.0
3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
12%
Through Week 4
Target share
1%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylen Wright over AJ Dillon in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Wright at 3.9 points and AJ Dillon at 2.9, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Jaylen Wright is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Jaylen Wright, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Wright is 16 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.9 fantasy points for AJ Dillon, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for AJ Dillon is 13 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (7 and 11 market sources).

That puts Jaylen Wright 0.9 points ahead of AJ Dillon on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Wright and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

AJ Dillon and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Wright has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Wright is not on the injury report.

AJ Dillon is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Jaylen Wright played 13 percent of MIA snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Wright, Week 1 against LV: 4 of 56 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jaylen Wright, Week 2 against SF: 3 of 59 snaps, 2 carries for 11 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jaylen Wright, Week 4 against MIN: 12 of 39 snaps, 5 carries for 7 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jaylen Wright, Week 5 against CIN: 9 of 66 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Wright played 10 games for MIA and scored 48.2 PPR points, 4.8 a game, finishing RB70.

He ran 70 times for 288 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 5 of 9 targets for 44 yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board