Start AJ Dillon or Sean Tucker? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start AJ Dillon over Sean Tucker in Week 7.

Market-based projections have AJ Dillon at 2.9 points and Sean Tucker at 2.6, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on AJ Dillon is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 2.9 fantasy points for AJ Dillon, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for AJ Dillon is 13 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (7 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.6 fantasy points for Sean Tucker, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Sean Tucker is 8 rushing yards and 0.2 touchdowns (8 and 13 market sources).

That puts AJ Dillon 0.3 points ahead of Sean Tucker on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

AJ Dillon and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Sean Tucker and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Sean Tucker has the softer matchup.

Injury status

AJ Dillon is not on the injury report.

Sean Tucker is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 5, Sean Tucker played 5 percent of TB snaps, took 9 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Sean Tucker, Week 3 against MIN: 1 of 69 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Sean Tucker, Week 4 against GB: 3 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 10 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Sean Tucker, Week 5 against DAL: 7 of 72 snaps, 5 carries for 18 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Sean Tucker played 17 games for TB and scored 91.4 PPR points, 5.4 a game, finishing RB52.

He ran 86 times for 320 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 11 targets for 34 yards.

He was on the field for 16 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start CJ Donaldson over AJ Dillon.
• Start Devin Singletary over AJ Dillon.
• Start Isaiah Davis over AJ Dillon.
• Start CJ Donaldson over Sean Tucker.
• Start Corey Kiner over Sean Tucker.
• Start Devin Singletary over Sean Tucker.