Start Sione Vaki or AJ Dillon? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start AJ Dillon over Sione Vaki in Week 7.

Market-based projections have AJ Dillon at 2.9 points and Sione Vaki at 2.3, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on AJ Dillon is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 2.9 fantasy points for AJ Dillon, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for AJ Dillon is 13 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (7 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Sione Vaki, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Sione Vaki is 9 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (12 and 12 market sources).

That puts AJ Dillon 0.7 points ahead of Sione Vaki on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

AJ Dillon and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 36 more yards.

Sione Vaki and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 26.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Sione Vaki has the softer matchup.

Injury status

AJ Dillon is not on the injury report.

Sione Vaki is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 4, AJ Dillon played 12 percent of CAR snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Dillon, Week 1 against CHI: 7 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 28 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 2 against ATL: 4 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for -3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 3 against CLE: 12 of 77 snaps, 4 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards.

AJ Dillon, Week 4 against DET: 11 of 75 snaps, 5 carries for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 5, Sione Vaki played 26 percent of DET snaps, took 12 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Sione Vaki, Week 2 against BUF: 11 of 65 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Sione Vaki, Week 3 against NYJ: 20 of 65 snaps, 6 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Sione Vaki, Week 4 against CAR: 12 of 71 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 17 yards.

Sione Vaki, Week 5 against ARI: 23 of 66 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, AJ Dillon played 7 games for PHI and scored 9.1 PPR points, 1.3 a game, finishing RB113.

He ran 12 times for 60 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

He was on the field for 11 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Sione Vaki played 11 games for DET and scored 0.4 PPR points, 0.0 a game, finishing RB143.

He ran 1 time for 4 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 0 of 0 targets for 0 yards.

He was on the field for 0 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start CJ Donaldson over AJ Dillon.
• Start Devin Singletary over AJ Dillon.
• Start Isaiah Davis over AJ Dillon.
• Start CJ Donaldson over Sione Vaki.
• Start Corey Kiner over Sione Vaki.
• Start Devin Singletary over Sione Vaki.