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Start Braelon Allen or Alvin Kamara? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:26 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen

Kamara projects lower, 9.6 to 13.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 164 for Kamara, 180 for Allen.

Start

RB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.3
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
13.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at RB
Snap share
65%
Through Week 9
Target share
9%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Braelon Allen for Alvin Kamara?

Not on these numbers alone. Braelon Allen projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (8.2 a game over 7 games) and Alvin Kamara 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 9.6 points and Braelon Allen at 13.4, a gap of 3.8. Alvin Kamara still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 164 against 180, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (7.1 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.7, 16.8 and 7.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 15.7, 16.8 and 7.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 13.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Braelon Allen is 0.6 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 7.1 and 12.1 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Braelon Allen 3.8 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Braelon Allen played 65 percent of NYJ snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 7 against MIA: 46 of 59 snaps, 17 carries for 104 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 30 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 8 against LV: 53 of 64 snaps, 21 carries for 147 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 9 against KC: 37 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards.

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara played 37 percent of NO snaps, took 27 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 9 against CLE: 37 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Braelon Allen for Alvin Kamara?

    Not on these numbers alone. Braelon Allen projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (8.2 a game over 7 games) and Alvin Kamara 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Braelon Allen?

    Not on these numbers alone. Alvin Kamara projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 8 games) and Braelon Allen 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?Should I drop Braelon Allen?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board