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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Alvin Kamara? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:11 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara

Jones projects lower, 8.7 to 9.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 110 for Jones, 164 for Kamara.

Start

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
8.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
29 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.3
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Alvin Kamara 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.7 points and Alvin Kamara at 9.6, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Jones Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 110 against 164, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 8.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (11.3, 7.4 and 7.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (7.1 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 7.1 and 12.1 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3, 7.4 and 7.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Alvin Kamara 0.9 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara played 37 percent of NO snaps, took 27 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 9 against CLE: 37 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Alvin Kamara 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Alvin Kamara?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Alvin Kamara 60 (7.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Alvin Kamara?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board