Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Alvin Kamara?

Not on these numbers alone. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games) and Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

Start Alvin Kamara or Tyjae Spears? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:56 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara

Spears projects lower, 5.6 to 7.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 132 for Spears, 164 for Kamara.

Start

Tyjae Spears

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 5.6; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 16.1; 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 8 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 42%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs PIT · Questionable

Market projects: 7.2; fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB: 20.4; 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 31%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Tyjae Spears?

Not on these numbers alone. Alvin Kamara projects 62 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 10 games) and Tyjae Spears 64 (6.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyjae Spears at 5.6 points and Alvin Kamara at 7.2, a gap of 1.6. Tyjae Spears still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 132 against 164, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyjae Spears this week yet, so his 5.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (5.4, 5.0 and 6.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.2 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 17 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (11, 11, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyjae Spears yet. His market-based projections were 5.4, 5.0 and 6.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tyjae Spears is 0.2 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 1.6 points ahead of Tyjae Spears on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 35 more yards.

Tyjae Spears and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 16.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 99 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Tyjae Spears is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears played 42 percent of TEN snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyjae Spears, Week 3 against NYG: 28 of 60 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 4 against BAL: 23 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 5 against HOU: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 9 targets and 9 catches for 28 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 6 against IND: 11 of 46 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Tyjae Spears?
Not on these numbers alone. Alvin Kamara projects 62 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 10 games) and Tyjae Spears 64 (6.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.
Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Alvin Kamara?
Not on these numbers alone. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games) and Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.