Start Amon-Ra St. Brown or Justin Jefferson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson

Start

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · DET · vs GB

Market projects: 20.1; fantasy pts
GB D vs WR: 33.0; 13th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 95 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 88%; Through Week 5
Target share: 30%; Through Week 5

Sit

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 15.6; fantasy pts
IND D vs WR: 30.8; 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 74%; Through Week 5
Target share: 25%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Amon-Ra St. Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 219 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (19.9 a game over 11 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson, 20.1 to 15.6 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Amon-Ra St. Brown at 20.1 points and Justin Jefferson at 15.6, a gap of 4.5. Drafters take Amon-Ra St. Brown at ADP 7 and Justin Jefferson at 14.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 20.1 fantasy points for Amon-Ra St. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Amon-Ra St. Brown is 79 receiving yards, 7-8 receptions and 0.8 touchdowns (11, 9 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.6 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Justin Jefferson is 73 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (9, 7 and 10 market sources).

That puts Amon-Ra St. Brown 4.5 points ahead of Justin Jefferson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Amon-Ra St. Brown and DET host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 33.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 141 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against GB.

Justin Jefferson and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 30.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Amon-Ra St. Brown has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Amon-Ra St. Brown is not on the injury report.

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 88 percent of DET snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 2 against BUF: 62 of 65 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 142 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 3 against NYJ: 48 of 65 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 4 against CAR: 68 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 75 yards.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 5 against ARI: 57 of 66 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 69 yards.

Through Week 5, Justin Jefferson played 74 percent of MIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.

He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Amon-Ra St. Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 219 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (19.9 a game over 11 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson, 20.1 to 15.6 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Amon-Ra St. Brown for Justin Jefferson?
No. Keep Amon-Ra St. Brown: he projects 219 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (19.9 a game over 11 games), Justin Jefferson 35 (3.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson, 20.1 to 15.6 projected PPR points.