Start Jaylen Warren or Ashton Jeanty? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 8:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Jeanty projects lower, 15.5 to 16.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 25 for Jeanty, 62 for Warren.

Start

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · at NYJ

Market projects: 15.5; recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs RB: 21.4; 16th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 75 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 7
Target share: 17%; Through Week 7

Sit

Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · vs CLE

Market projects: 16.7; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 19.4; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 66 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 74%; Through Week 7
Target share: 14%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Jaylen Warren?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Warren projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Ashton Jeanty 146 (16.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Ashton Jeanty at 15.5 points and Jaylen Warren at 16.7, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Ashton Jeanty still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 25 against 62, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 15.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (14.4, 16.1 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jaylen Warren this week yet, so his 16.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (17.8, 15.7 and 16.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Jaylen Warren yet. His market-based projections were 17.8, 15.7 and 16.7 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 16.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Warren is 0.8 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 14.5, 16.1 and 16.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 15.5, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0.8 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Jaylen Warren 1.2 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Jaylen Warren and PIT host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Jaylen Warren played 74 percent of PIT snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 24 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 5 against IND: 52 of 60 snaps, 15 carries for 101 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaylen Warren, Week 6 against TB: 59 of 79 snaps, 14 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 7 against NO: 40 of 64 snaps, 18 carries for 101 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Through Week 7, Ashton Jeanty played 70 percent of LV snaps, took 64 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 5 against NE: 32 of 60 snaps, 10 carries for 27 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 50 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 7 against LAR: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 8 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Jaylen Warren?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Warren projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Ashton Jeanty 146 (16.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Ashton Jeanty?
No. Keep Jaylen Warren: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Ashton Jeanty 146 (16.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren.

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty?