Should I drop Bo Nix for Baker Mayfield?

Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 9 games) and Baker Mayfield 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Bo Nix, 16.6 to 15.7 projected PPR points.

Start Baker Mayfield or Bo Nix? Week 8

Updated Oct 28, 3:49 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 22, 4:48 PM ET: Barring setbacks, Bucs QB Baker Mayfield expected to start vs. Panthers (ESPN)

Start Baker Mayfield over Bo Nix

Start

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · vs ATL

Market projects: 16.6; fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB: 18.0; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 28 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 7

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 15.7; fantasy pts
KC D vs QB: 13.0; 3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Bo Nix?

Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games) and Bo Nix 146 (16.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Bo Nix, 16.6 to 15.7 projected PPR points.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Bo Nix rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 8 call

Start Baker Mayfield over Bo Nix in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Baker Mayfield at 16.6 points and Bo Nix at 15.7, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Baker Mayfield's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Baker Mayfield at ADP 133 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Baker Mayfield is 0.2 touchdowns (6 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 205 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 16 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (9, 10, 4 and 7 market sources).

That puts Baker Mayfield 0.9 points ahead of Bo Nix on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Baker Mayfield and TB host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 18.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 271 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Bo Nix and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Baker Mayfield played 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 129 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 3 against MIN: 65 of 69 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 7 against CAR: 57 of 63 snaps, 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Through Week 7, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 234 times and threw an average of 5.7 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Bo Nix?
Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games) and Bo Nix 146 (16.2 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Bo Nix, 16.6 to 15.7 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Bo Nix for Baker Mayfield?
Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 9 games) and Baker Mayfield 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Baker Mayfield over Bo Nix, 16.6 to 15.7 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Bo Nix?