Start Derrick Henry or Bijan Robinson? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 7:21 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry

Start

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATL · at TB

Market projects: 22.7; recent weeks avg
TB D vs RB: 17.8; 3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 68 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 71%; Through Week 7
Target share: 17%; Through Week 7

Sit

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 16.0; recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB: 27.3; 3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 92 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 57%; Through Week 7
Target share: 6%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bijan Robinson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 199 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (22.1 a game over 9 games), Derrick Henry 140 (15.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 22.7 points and Derrick Henry at 16.0, a gap of 6.7. No player market is posted for Bijan Robinson this week yet, so his 22.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (21.5, 23.2 and 23.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (15.4, 16.2 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and Derrick Henry at 15.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Bijan Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 21.5, 23.2 and 23.3 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 22.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Bijan Robinson is 1 touchdown (7 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 15.4, 16.2 and 16.3 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 1.1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Bijan Robinson 6.7 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Bijan Robinson and ATL visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 65 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against TB and caught passes for 37 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 47 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Bijan Robinson played 71 percent of ATL snaps, took 66 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 46 percent of the red zone chances.

Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 52 of 64 snaps, 17 carries for 86 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 43 of 55 snaps, 9 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -8 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 7 against SF: 55 of 69 snaps, 20 carries for 63 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 45 yards.

Through Week 7, Derrick Henry played 57 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bijan Robinson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 199 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (22.1 a game over 9 games), Derrick Henry 140 (15.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.
Should I drop Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry?
No. Keep Bijan Robinson: he projects 199 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (22.1 a game over 9 games), Derrick Henry 140 (15.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.

Should I drop Derrick Henry?