Start Bo Nix or Jalon Daniels? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 2:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bo Nix over Jalon Daniels

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 17.7; fantasy pts
ARI D vs QB: 22.1; 4th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jalon Daniels

QB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 14.9; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs QB: 18.6; 13th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 56 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jalon Daniels for Bo Nix?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games), Jalon Daniels 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Jalon Daniels.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Jalon Daniels in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 17.7 points and Jalon Daniels at 14.9, a gap of 2.8. No player market is posted for Jalon Daniels this week yet, so his 14.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (15.3 and 14.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 90 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 220 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 13 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (6, 7, 6 and 8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jalon Daniels yet. His market-based projections were 15.3 and 14.5 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 14.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 2.8 points ahead of Jalon Daniels on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 247 yards and 2.7 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

Jalon Daniels and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Jalon Daniels is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 6, Jalon Daniels played 76 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 123 times and threw an average of 6.1 air yards per attempt.

Jalon Daniels, Week 3 against MIN: 4 of 69 snaps, 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 9 yards.

Jalon Daniels, Week 4 against GB: 63 of 64 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 148 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 55 yards.

Jalon Daniels, Week 5 against DAL: 72 of 72 snaps, 19 of 25 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 25 yards.

Jalon Daniels, Week 6 against PIT: 74 of 74 snaps, 22 of 43 passes for 164 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 39 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jalon Daniels for Bo Nix?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games), Jalon Daniels 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Jalon Daniels.
Should I drop Bo Nix for Jalon Daniels?
No. Keep Bo Nix: he projects 165 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 10 games), Jalon Daniels 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Jalon Daniels.