Start David Montgomery or Braelon Allen? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start David Montgomery over Braelon Allen

Montgomery projects lower, 10.0 to 13.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 52 for Montgomery, 180 for Allen.

Start

David Montgomery

RB · HOU · vs NYG · Questionable

Market projects: 10.0; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs RB: 21.6; 15th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 50 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 46%; Through Week 5
Target share: 4%; Through Week 5

Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.1; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 78 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 61%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop David Montgomery for Braelon Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Braelon Allen projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 10 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Braelon Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game. David Montgomery is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start David Montgomery over Braelon Allen in Week 7.

Market-based projections have David Montgomery at 10.0 points and Braelon Allen at 13.3, a gap of 3.3. David Montgomery still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 52 against 180, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for David Montgomery this week yet, so his 10.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (10.2 and 9.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (11.1, 14.9 and 13.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 11.1, 14.9 and 13.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for David Montgomery yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Braelon Allen 3.3 points ahead of David Montgomery on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 101 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 39 more yards.

David Montgomery and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 21.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 108 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 22 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

David Montgomery is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Braelon Allen played 61 percent of NYJ snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 5 against CLE: 60 of 70 snaps, 24 carries for 116 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 5, David Montgomery played 46 percent of HOU snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 5 against TEN: 9 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 11 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop David Montgomery for Braelon Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Braelon Allen projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 10 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Braelon Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game. David Montgomery is listed questionable.
Should I drop Braelon Allen for David Montgomery?
No. Keep Braelon Allen: he projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 10 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Braelon Allen. David Montgomery is listed questionable.