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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Efton Chism III? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:11 PM ET.

Start

WR · JAX · vs IND

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
IND D vs WR
29.0
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
31 of 100 at WR
Sit

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
23.8
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
15 of 100 at WR
Snap share
63%
Through Week 7
Target share
3%
Through Week 7

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Our Week 8 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Efton Chism III in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 4.7 points and Efton Chism III at 4.7, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (5.1 and 4.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.2, 3.5 and 4.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 5.1 and 4.4 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 6.2, 3.5 and 4.4 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.0 points ahead of Efton Chism III on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND.

Efton Chism III and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Efton Chism III played 63 percent of NE snaps, drew 3 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 51 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Efton Chism III, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board