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Start Elic Ayomanor or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 3:41 AM ET.

Start Elic Ayomanor over Brian Thomas Jr.

Start

Elic Ayomanor

WR · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
4.8
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
33.2
14th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at WR
Snap share
65%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8
Sit

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Elic Ayomanor for Brian Thomas Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Elic Ayomanor projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games) and Brian Thomas Jr. 35 (4.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Elic Ayomanor over Brian Thomas Jr.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Elic Ayomanor over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Elic Ayomanor at 4.8 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.8 fantasy points for Elic Ayomanor, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Elic Ayomanor is 22 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (6, 6 and 6 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 0.2 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Elic Ayomanor 1.0 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Elic Ayomanor and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 33.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 175 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Elic Ayomanor is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Elic Ayomanor played 65 percent of TEN snaps, drew 11 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Elic Ayomanor, Week 5 against HOU: 33 of 63 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 17 yards.

Elic Ayomanor, Week 6 against IND: 28 of 46 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Elic Ayomanor, Week 7 against CLE: 56 of 63 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Elic Ayomanor, Week 8 against CIN: 50 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Elic Ayomanor played 16 games for TEN and scored 116.5 PPR points, 7.3 a game, finishing WR55.

He caught 41 of 89 targets for 515 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 400 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Elic Ayomanor for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    Not on these numbers alone. Elic Ayomanor projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games) and Brian Thomas Jr. 35 (4.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Elic Ayomanor over Brian Thomas Jr.

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Elic Ayomanor?

    Not on these numbers alone. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games) and Elic Ayomanor 33 (4.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Elic Ayomanor over Brian Thomas Jr.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board