Start Brian Thomas Jr. or John Metchie III? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 3:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over John Metchie III
- Market projects
- 3.9
- recent weeks avg
- TEN D vs WR
- 40.7
- most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 3.6
- recent weeks avg
- NO D vs WR
- 31.3
- 16th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 40%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop John Metchie III for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), John Metchie III 30 (3.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over John Metchie III.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over John Metchie III in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9 points and John Metchie III at 3.6, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for John Metchie III this week yet, so his 3.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (3.3, 3.9 and 3.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for John Metchie III yet. His market-based projections were 3.3, 3.9 and 3.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 3.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.3 points ahead of John Metchie III on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.
John Metchie III and CAR visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NO allowed 31.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 154 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against NO.
By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
John Metchie III is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Through Week 9, John Metchie III played 40 percent of CAR snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.
John Metchie III, Week 7 against TB: 26 of 56 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards.
John Metchie III, Week 8 against GB: 33 of 73 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 14 yards.
John Metchie III, Week 9 against DEN: 19 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 40 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
In 2025, John Metchie III played 16 games for NYJ and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.
He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 134 air yards.
He was on the field for 43 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop John Metchie III for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), John Metchie III 30 (3.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over John Metchie III.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for John Metchie III?
No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), John Metchie III 30 (3.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over John Metchie III.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?
Week 10 on the board
- Is Brian Thomas Jr. playing Week 10?
- Is John Metchie III playing Week 10?
- Jaguars depth chart
- Panthers depth chart
- Week 10 WR rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings