Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Kyle Williams? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 2:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.
Start Kyle Williams over Brian Thomas Jr.
- Market projects
- 4.5
- recent weeks avg
- DET D vs WR
- 37.7
- 2nd most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 40%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 3.9
- recent weeks avg
- TEN D vs WR
- 40.7
- most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 43%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Kyle Williams for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Kyle Williams 22 (3.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Williams over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Parlae may earn a commission from price links.
Make this call for your own roster
Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.
Or get it by email
Tuesday 7am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.
Free. One a week, one tap to stop.
Our Week 10 call
Start Kyle Williams over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Kyle Williams at 4.5 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Kyle Williams this week yet, so his 4.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.4, 5.1 and 4.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Kyle Williams yet. His market-based projections were 4.4, 5.1 and 4.1 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 4.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
The market-based projection for Kyle Williams is 0.2 touchdowns (12 market sources).
No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Kyle Williams 0.6 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Kyle Williams and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.
DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.
Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.
By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Kyle Williams is not on the injury report.
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Kyle Williams played 40 percent of NE snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Kyle Williams, Week 6 against NYJ: 25 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 12 yards.
Kyle Williams, Week 7 against CHI: 21 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Kyle Williams, Week 8 against MIA: 50 of 60 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 43 yards, 1 touchdown.
Kyle Williams, Week 9 against GB: 49 of 63 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Kyle Williams played 17 games for NE and scored 49.2 PPR points, 2.9 a game, finishing WR112.
He caught 10 of 21 targets for 209 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 130 air yards.
He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.
He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.
He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Kyle Williams for Brian Thomas Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Kyle Williams 22 (3.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Williams over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Kyle Williams?
No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Kyle Williams 22 (3.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Williams over Brian Thomas Jr.
Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?
Week 10 on the board
- Is Brian Thomas Jr. playing Week 10?
- Is Kyle Williams playing Week 10?
- Jaguars depth chart
- Patriots depth chart
- Week 10 WR rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings