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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Rashod Bateman? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Rashod Bateman

Thomas projects lower, 3.9 to 4.8, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 72 for Thomas, 175 for Bateman.

Start

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
4.8
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs WR
36.6
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
35 of 100 at WR
Snap share
70%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Rashod Bateman for Brian Thomas Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Rashod Bateman 32 (4.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Rashod Bateman.

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Brian Thomas Jr. rookie cardsRashod Bateman rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Rashod Bateman in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9 points and Rashod Bateman at 4.8, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Brian Thomas Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 72 against 175, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Rashod Bateman this week yet, so his 4.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.5, 6.3 and 3.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Rashod Bateman yet. His market-based projections were 4.5, 6.3 and 3.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 4.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Rashod Bateman 0.9 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Rashod Bateman and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 36.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 158 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAC.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rashod Bateman is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Rashod Bateman played 70 percent of BAL snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 23 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Rashod Bateman, Week 6 against CLE: 17 of 57 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Rashod Bateman, Week 7 against CIN: 49 of 67 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards.

Rashod Bateman, Week 8 against BUF: 39 of 51 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 22 yards.

Rashod Bateman, Week 9 against JAX: 35 of 56 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rashod Bateman played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing WR102.

He caught 19 of 38 targets for 224 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 185 air yards.

He was on the field for 69 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rashod Bateman for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Rashod Bateman 32 (4.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Rashod Bateman.

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Rashod Bateman?

    No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Rashod Bateman 32 (4.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Rashod Bateman.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board