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Start Tank Dell or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 10:46 AM ET.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Tank Dell

Start

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

Tank Dell

WR · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
2.9
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
78 of 100 at WR
Snap share
36%
Through Week 9
Target share
15%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Tank Dell for Brian Thomas Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Tank Dell 23 (2.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Tank Dell.

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Brian Thomas Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Tank Dell in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9 points and Tank Dell at 2.9, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tank Dell this week yet, so his 2.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (2.0 and 3.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Brian Thomas Jr. at ADP 72 and Tank Dell at 209.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tank Dell yet. His market-based projections were 2.0 and 3.7 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 2.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 1.0 points ahead of Tank Dell on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

Tank Dell and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Tank Dell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Tank Dell played 36 percent of HOU snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Tank Dell, Week 7 against NYG: 14 of 61 snaps, 1 carry for 2 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 43 yards.

Tank Dell, Week 9 against LAC: 33 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 105 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tank Dell for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Tank Dell 23 (2.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Tank Dell.

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Tank Dell?

    No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 43 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.4 a game over 8 games), Tank Dell 23 (2.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Tank Dell.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board