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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Tory Horton? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 2:46 PM ET.

Start

WR · SEA · at LV

Market projects
4.4
recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR
33.8
11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at WR
Snap share
39%
Through Week 9
Target share
8%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
58 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Tory Horton over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tory Horton at 4.4 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tory Horton this week yet, so his 4.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (3.4, 5.3 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tory Horton yet. His market-based projections were 3.4, 5.3 and 4.6 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 4.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Tory Horton 0.5 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Tory Horton and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 33.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 162 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against LV.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tory Horton is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Tory Horton played 39 percent of SEA snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Tory Horton, Week 6 against DEN: 39 of 85 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Tory Horton, Week 7 against KC: 31 of 69 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tory Horton, Week 8 against CHI: 43 of 63 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Tory Horton, Week 9 against ARI: 41 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tory Horton played 8 games for SEA and scored 65.1 PPR points, 8.1 a game, finishing WR96.

He caught 13 of 22 targets for 161 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 128 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board