Start Bucky Irving or Tyler Allgeier? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bucky Irving over Tyler Allgeier

Start

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 11.6; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB: 25.7; 5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 77 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 65%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 8.3; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs RB: 23.3; 9th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 73 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 51%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Bucky Irving?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bucky Irving projects 120 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.0 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 74 (7.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Tyler Allgeier.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bucky Irving over Tyler Allgeier in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bucky Irving at 11.6 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.3, a gap of 3.3. No player market is posted for Bucky Irving this week yet, so his 11.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (11.5, 11.2 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.2, 6.8 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bucky Irving at ADP 45 and Tyler Allgeier at 169.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bucky Irving yet. His market-based projections were 11.5, 11.2 and 11.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 11.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Bucky Irving is 0.6 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.2, 6.8 and 11.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 8.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bucky Irving 3.3 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bucky Irving and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DEN and caught passes for 33 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bucky Irving has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bucky Irving is not on the injury report.

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bucky Irving played 65 percent of TB snaps, took 61 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 5 against DAL: 39 of 72 snaps, 21 carries for 165 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bucky Irving, Week 6 against PIT: 63 of 74 snaps, 19 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier played 51 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 3 against SF: 31 of 87 snaps, 2 carries for -1 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Bucky Irving?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bucky Irving projects 120 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.0 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 74 (7.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Tyler Allgeier.
Should I drop Bucky Irving for Tyler Allgeier?
No. Keep Bucky Irving: he projects 120 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.0 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 74 (7.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Tyler Allgeier.