Start Alvin Kamara or Tyler Allgeier? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Kamara projects lower, 7.1 to 8.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 164 for Kamara, 169 for Allgeier.

Start

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs PIT · Questionable

Market projects: 7.1; fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB: 20.4; 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 31%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 8.3; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs RB: 23.3; 9th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 73 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 51%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.4 a game over 10 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 7.1 points and Tyler Allgeier at 8.3, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Alvin Kamara still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 164 against 169, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 8.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.2, 6.8 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.2, 6.8 and 11.9 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 8.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

Player markets imply 7.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 17 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (11, 11, 11 and 12 market sources).

That puts Tyler Allgeier 1.2 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyler Allgeier and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DEN and caught passes for 33 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier played 51 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 3 against SF: 31 of 87 snaps, 2 carries for -1 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Tyler Allgeier?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.4 a game over 10 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.
Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Alvin Kamara?
No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.4 a game over 10 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Tyler Allgeier. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.