Should I drop Caleb Williams for Dak Prescott?

Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games) and Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.

Start Dak Prescott or Caleb Williams? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 18.0; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 22.7; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 91 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Sit

Caleb Williams

QB · CHI · at SEA

Market projects: 17.2; fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB: 11.6; 2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 53 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Caleb Williams?

Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 167 (18.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.0 points and Caleb Williams at 17.2, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Caleb Williams's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (18.3, 18.3 and 17.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and Caleb Williams at 87.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.3, 18.3 and 17.4 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 70 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 226 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (7, 9 and 8 market sources).

That puts Dak Prescott 0.8 points ahead of Caleb Williams on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 2.4 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Caleb Williams and CHI visit SEA on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

SEA allowed 11.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 158 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against SEA, with 1.1 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 293 times and threw an average of 7.9 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 7, Caleb Williams played 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 77 of 77 snaps, 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 7 against NE: 69 of 69 snaps, 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Caleb Williams?
Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 9 games) and Caleb Williams 167 (18.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Dak Prescott?
Not on these numbers alone. Caleb Williams projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 9 games) and Dak Prescott 162 (18.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams.