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Start Calvin Ridley or Jalen Nailor? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:06 PM ET.

Start Calvin Ridley over Jalen Nailor

Ridley projects lower, 3.3 to 3.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 168 for Ridley, 174 for Nailor.

Start

WR · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
3.3
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs WR
33.2
14th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
20 of 100 at WR
Snap share
53%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · LV · vs SEA

Market projects
3.4
fantasy pts
SEA D vs WR
23.3
fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
9 of 100 at WR
Snap share
56%
Through Week 9
Target share
10%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Calvin Ridley for Jalen Nailor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 31 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 7 games), Calvin Ridley 18 (2.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Calvin Ridley over Jalen Nailor. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Calvin Ridley over Jalen Nailor in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Calvin Ridley at 3.3 points and Jalen Nailor at 3.4, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Calvin Ridley still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 168 against 174, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Calvin Ridley this week yet, so his 3.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (2.0 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Jalen Nailor, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jalen Nailor is 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (5, 6 and 6 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Calvin Ridley yet. His market-based projections were 2.0 and 4.6 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 3.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Jalen Nailor 0.1 points ahead of Calvin Ridley on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV host SEA on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

SEA allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 100 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA.

Calvin Ridley and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 33.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 175 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Calvin Ridley has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Calvin Ridley is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Jalen Nailor played 56 percent of LV snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 8 against NYJ: 29 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jalen Nailor, Week 9 against SF: 37 of 50 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 8, Calvin Ridley played 53 percent of TEN snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Calvin Ridley, Week 4 against BAL: 30 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Calvin Ridley, Week 5 against HOU: 35 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards.

Calvin Ridley, Week 6 against IND: 28 of 46 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Calvin Ridley, Week 8 against CIN: 40 of 77 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Calvin Ridley played 7 games for TEN and scored 47.3 PPR points, 6.8 a game, finishing WR116.

He caught 17 of 36 targets for 303 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 219 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Calvin Ridley for Jalen Nailor?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 31 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 7 games), Calvin Ridley 18 (2.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Calvin Ridley over Jalen Nailor. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Calvin Ridley?

    No. Keep Jalen Nailor: he projects 31 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 7 games), Calvin Ridley 18 (2.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Calvin Ridley over Jalen Nailor.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board