Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jalen Nailor? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jalen Nailor in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9 points and Jalen Nailor at 4.7, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Brian Thomas Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 72 against 174, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.0, 4.3 and 5.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 4.0, 4.3 and 5.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Jalen Nailor 0.8 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV host SEA on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

SEA allowed 23.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 100 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against SEA.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Jalen Nailor played 56 percent of LV snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 8 against NYJ: 29 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jalen Nailor, Week 9 against SF: 37 of 50 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Jalen Nailor over Darnell Mooney.
• Start Dohnte Meyers over Jalen Nailor.
• Start Efton Chism III over Jalen Nailor.
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Calvin Ridley.
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Darnell Mooney.
• Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jack Bech.