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Start Zay Flowers or Carnell Tate? Week 10

Updated Nov 12, 12:46 AM ET.

Start Zay Flowers over Carnell Tate

Start

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
15.7
fantasy pts
LAC D vs WR
36.6
6th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
81 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 9
Target share
30%
Through Week 9
Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs JAX · Questionable

Market projects
11.5
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
33.2
14th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
39 of 100 at WR
Snap share
82%
Through Week 7
Target share
26%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 7 games), Carnell Tate 90 (11.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Zay Flowers over Carnell Tate, 15.7 to 11.5 projected PPR points. Carnell Tate is listed questionable.

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Carnell Tate rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Zay Flowers over Carnell Tate in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Zay Flowers at 15.7 points and Carnell Tate at 11.5, a gap of 4.2. Drafters take Zay Flowers at ADP 23 and Carnell Tate at 81.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.5 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 51 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 4 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 4 rushing yards, 70 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (6, 13, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Zay Flowers 4.2 points ahead of Carnell Tate on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Carnell Tate and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 33.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 175 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

Zay Flowers and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 36.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 158 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAC.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Carnell Tate is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 7, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 34 of 46 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Carnell Tate, Week 7 against CLE: 56 of 63 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 69 yards.

Through Week 9, Zay Flowers played 67 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 42 of 51 snaps, 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 9 against JAX: 37 of 56 snaps, 3 carries for 17 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Carnell Tate for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 7 games), Carnell Tate 90 (11.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Zay Flowers over Carnell Tate, 15.7 to 11.5 projected PPR points. Carnell Tate is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Carnell Tate?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 7 games), Carnell Tate 90 (11.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Zay Flowers over Carnell Tate, 15.7 to 11.5 projected PPR points. Carnell Tate is listed questionable.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board