Start Josh Downs or CeeDee Lamb? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 8:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs

Start

CeeDee Lamb

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 16.8; recent weeks avg
PHI D vs WR: 38.2; 5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 77%; Through Week 6
Target share: 29%; Through Week 6

Sit

Josh Downs

WR · IND · at MIN

See his rookie cards

Market projects: 14.2; recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR: 27.1; 5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 80%; Through Week 6
Target share: 21%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Josh Downs for CeeDee Lamb?

Yes, on the rest of the season. CeeDee Lamb projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.

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Josh Downs rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs in Week 7.

Market-based projections have CeeDee Lamb at 16.8 points and Josh Downs at 14.2, a gap of 2.7. No player market is posted for CeeDee Lamb this week yet, so his 16.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.1 and 16.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 14.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.3 and 12.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take CeeDee Lamb at ADP 11 and Josh Downs at 96.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for CeeDee Lamb yet. His market-based projections were 17.1 and 16.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for CeeDee Lamb is 0.6 touchdowns (6 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 16.3 and 12.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 14.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts CeeDee Lamb 2.7 points ahead of Josh Downs on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

CeeDee Lamb and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 38.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 171 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against PHI.

Josh Downs and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 27.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, CeeDee Lamb has the softer matchup.

Injury status

CeeDee Lamb is not on the injury report.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, CeeDee Lamb played 77 percent of DAL snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 3 against BAL: 61 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 112 yards.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 4 against HOU: 67 of 78 snaps, 1 carry for -6 yards, 21 targets and 17 catches for 189 yards, 1 touchdown.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 5 against TB: 34 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

CeeDee Lamb, Week 6 against GB: 18 targets and 9 catches for 70 yards.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs played 80 percent of IND snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 3 against HOU: 48 of 71 snaps, 11 targets and 5 catches for 77 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 4 against WAS: 51 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 5 against PIT: 60 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, CeeDee Lamb played 14 games for DAL and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.

He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 754 air yards.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Josh Downs for CeeDee Lamb?
Yes, on the rest of the season. CeeDee Lamb projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.
Should I drop CeeDee Lamb for Josh Downs?
No. Keep CeeDee Lamb: he projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.