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Should I start Josh Downs or CeeDee Lamb in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 8:41 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
18.9
fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR
38.3
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
98 of 100 at WR
Snap share
79%
Through Week 6
Target share
29%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · IND · at MIN

Market projects
13.5
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR
27.1
5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
45 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 6
Target share
21%
Through Week 6
Start Lamb or Downs? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start CeeDee Lamb: 76 percent of the snaps and 27 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Josh Downs's 76 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Josh Downs for CeeDee Lamb?

Yes, on the rest of the season. CeeDee Lamb projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR9 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
12.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
17

WR34 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
18.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
83

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The gap

  • Board size298 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on CeeDee Lamb, and the board ranks him 83rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Josh Downs, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

The market-based projection for CeeDee Lamb is 3.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has been on the field for 80 percent of IND snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 0 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TEN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, CeeDee Lamb has been on the field for 77 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 3 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 69 targets have averaged 9.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he carried 1 time for -6 yards, caught 17 of 21 targets for 189 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 2 of 5 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 9 of 18 targets for 70 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 CeeDee Lamb played 14 games and scored 200.9 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing WR22.

He caught 75 of 117 targets for 1077 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 75 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Josh Downs was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 CeeDee Lamb scored 14.4 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 5.8 a game between them.

Josh Downs finished WR44 that year and CeeDee Lamb WR22.

CeeDee Lamb had 29 more targets than Josh Downs, 117 to 88.

CeeDee Lamb had 511 more receiving yards than Josh Downs, 1077 to 566.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 80 percent against 77 percent.

This season CeeDee Lamb holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 21 percent.

Byes and availability

Josh Downs is off in Week 13 and CeeDee Lamb in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for CeeDee Lamb?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. CeeDee Lamb projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.

  • Should I drop CeeDee Lamb for Josh Downs?

    No. Keep CeeDee Lamb: he projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), Josh Downs 121 (12.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts CeeDee Lamb over Josh Downs.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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