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Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Josh Downs? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 6:16 AM ET.

Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Josh Downs

Godwin projects lower, 9.6 to 10.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 82 for Godwin, 96 for Downs.

Start

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · at CHI

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs WR
29.2
10th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
73%
Through Week 8
Target share
43%
Through Week 8
Sit

Josh Downs

WR · IND · vs DAL

Market projects
10.3
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs WR
35.5
10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
82%
Through Week 8
Target share
20%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 8 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 66 (8.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Josh Downs. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Josh Downs in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Chris Godwin Jr. at 9.6 points and Josh Downs at 10.3, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Godwin Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 82 against 96, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Chris Godwin Jr. this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (7.2, 10.9 and 10.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 10.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.3, 10.9 and 7.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 12.3, 10.9 and 7.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 10.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Chris Godwin Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 7.2, 10.9 and 10.6 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Josh Downs 0.8 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Josh Downs and IND host DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 163 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 29.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against CHI.

By points allowed to the position, Josh Downs has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Chris Godwin Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Josh Downs played 82 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 26 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 5 against PIT: 60 of 71 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 7 against MIN: 52 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 8 against JAX: 5 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Chris Godwin Jr. played 73 percent of TB snaps, drew 43 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 7 against CAR: 46 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 8 against ATL: 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 8 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 66 (8.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Josh Downs. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Chris Godwin Jr.?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 92 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 8 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 66 (8.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Josh Downs.

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr.?Should I drop Josh Downs?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board