Start Chris Olave or Luther Burden III? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Chris Olave over Luther Burden III

Start

Chris Olave

WR · NO · vs PIT

Market projects: 15.8; fantasy pts
PIT D vs WR: 28.6; 6th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Sit

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 12.7; fantasy pts
NE D vs WR: 31.7; 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at WR

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Chris Olave?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chris Olave over Luther Burden III, 15.8 to 12.7 projected PPR points.

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Chris Olave rookie cards Luther Burden III rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chris Olave over Luther Burden III in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chris Olave at 15.8 points and Luther Burden III at 12.7, a gap of 3.1. Drafters take Chris Olave at ADP 26 and Luther Burden III at 51.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 76 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 57 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 11 and 13 market sources).

That puts Chris Olave 3.1 points ahead of Luther Burden III on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 28.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against PIT.

Luther Burden III and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Chris Olave played 81 percent of NO snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 43 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 3 against LV: 62 of 74 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 107 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 4 against ATL: 64 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 8 catches for 116 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 5 against MIN: 41 of 45 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 46 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 6 against NYG: 42 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Luther Burden III for Chris Olave?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chris Olave over Luther Burden III, 15.8 to 12.7 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Chris Olave for Luther Burden III?
No. Keep Chris Olave: he projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games), Luther Burden III 114 (11.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chris Olave over Luther Burden III, 15.8 to 12.7 projected PPR points.