Start MarShawn Lloyd or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 26, 6:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Start

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · vs CAR

Market projects: 5.5; fantasy pts
CAR D vs RB: 28.7; 2nd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 38%; Through Week 7
Target share: 6%; Through Week 7

Sit

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · vs IND

Market projects: 4.0; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 22.0; 13th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 63 of 100 at RB

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for MarShawn Lloyd?

Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

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Our Week 8 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 8.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 5.5 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.0, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Chris Rodriguez Jr. this week yet, so his 4.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (4.0 and 3.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take MarShawn Lloyd at ADP 125 and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 178.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.6 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 19 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 8 and 13 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Chris Rodriguez Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 4.1 and 3.9 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 4.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts MarShawn Lloyd 1.5 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

MarShawn Lloyd and GB host CAR on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 127 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 29 more yards.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 22.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 39 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.

Injury status

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, MarShawn Lloyd played 38 percent of GB snaps, took 39 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Rodriguez Jr. played 13 games for WAS and scored 92.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing RB51.

He ran 112 times for 500 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 30 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 16 carries for 65 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 28 of 54 snaps, 15 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Chris Rodriguez Jr. for MarShawn Lloyd?
Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Chris Rodriguez Jr.?
No. Keep MarShawn Lloyd: he projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 9 games), Chris Rodriguez Jr. 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?