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Start Nico Collins or Christian Watson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Start

WR · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
14.8
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
42 of 100 at WR
Snap share
71%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · GB · vs MIN

Market projects
14.8
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR
25.9
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at WR
Snap share
77%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Christian Watson for Nico Collins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Nico Collins projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.2 a game over 8 games), Christian Watson 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Nico Collins over Christian Watson.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Nico Collins over Christian Watson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Nico Collins at 14.8 points and Christian Watson at 14.8, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Nico Collins this week yet, so his 14.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (14.7 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Christian Watson this week yet, so his 14.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.6, 14.9 and 14.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Nico Collins at ADP 22 and Christian Watson at 58.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Nico Collins yet. His market-based projections were 14.7 and 15.0 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 14.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 0.4 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Christian Watson yet. His market-based projections were 15.6, 14.9 and 14.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Week 10 matchups

Nico Collins and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Christian Watson and GB host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 25.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Nico Collins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 25 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 5 against TEN: 47 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 6 against JAX: 46 of 63 snaps, 1 carry for 5 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 74 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 7 against NYG: 41 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 9 against LAC: 51 of 70 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 55 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Christian Watson played 77 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 7 against DET: 54 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 57 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 8 against CAR: 34 of 69 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 113 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 9 against NE: 51 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 171 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Christian Watson for Nico Collins?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Nico Collins projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.2 a game over 8 games), Christian Watson 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Nico Collins over Christian Watson.

  • Should I drop Nico Collins for Christian Watson?

    No. Keep Nico Collins: he projects 122 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.2 a game over 8 games), Christian Watson 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Nico Collins over Christian Watson.

Should I drop Nico Collins?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board