Start MarShawn Lloyd or Corey Kiner? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 10:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Corey Kiner

Start

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 5.2; fantasy pts
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 47 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 39%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Sit

Corey Kiner

RB · NE · at CHI

Market projects: 3.3; fantasy pts
CHI D vs RB: 17.0; 4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 33 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 12%; Through Week 6
Target share: 1%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Corey Kiner for MarShawn Lloyd?

Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games), Corey Kiner 24 (2.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Corey Kiner, 5.2 to 3.3 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Corey Kiner in Week 7.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 5.2 points and Corey Kiner at 3.3, a gap of 1.9. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on MarShawn Lloyd is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.2 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 16 rushing yards and 0.3 touchdowns (5 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Corey Kiner, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 14 rushing yards and 0.1 touchdowns (6 and 13 market sources).

That puts MarShawn Lloyd 1.9 points ahead of Corey Kiner on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

Corey Kiner and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 79 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 23 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.

Injury status

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd played 39 percent of GB snaps, took 41 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 3 against ATL: 15 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 11 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Corey Kiner played 12 percent of NE snaps, took 17 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 3 against JAX: 8 of 63 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 4 against BUF: 2 of 76 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 5 against LV: 15 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Corey Kiner for MarShawn Lloyd?
Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games), Corey Kiner 24 (2.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Corey Kiner, 5.2 to 3.3 projected PPR points.
Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Corey Kiner?
No. Keep MarShawn Lloyd: he projects 67 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 10 games), Corey Kiner 24 (2.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Corey Kiner, 5.2 to 3.3 projected PPR points.