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Start Corey Kiner or Seth McGowan? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:26 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

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Start

RB · NE · at DET

Market projects
12.7
fantasy pts
DET D vs RB
18.2
4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at RB
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
1%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
5.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB
25.0
8th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at RB
Snap share
22%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Corey Kiner over Seth McGowan in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Corey Kiner at 12.7 points and Seth McGowan at 5.2, a gap of 7.5. Corey Kiner's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Seth McGowan this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (2.7, 6.0 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Corey Kiner is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Corey Kiner, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 54 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (13 and 13 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Seth McGowan yet. His market-based projections were 2.7, 6.0 and 7.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Corey Kiner 7.5 points ahead of Seth McGowan on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Corey Kiner and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 75 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 24 more yards.

Seth McGowan and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 41 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Seth McGowan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Corey Kiner played 13 percent of NE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 7 against CHI: 6 of 54 snaps, 4 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 8 against MIA: 11 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 38 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 9 against GB: 11 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 55 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Seth McGowan played 22 percent of IND snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Seth McGowan, Week 6 against TEN: 19 of 83 snaps, 4 carries for 27 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 7 against MIN: 20 of 58 snaps, 11 carries for 46 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 8 against JAX: 15 of 61 snaps, 5 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 9 against DAL: 20 of 64 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board