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Start Courtland Sutton or Keon Coleman? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:46 AM ET.

Start

WR · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
8.8
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR
27.7
6th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
77%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
7.7
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR
25.3
4th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 8
Target share
14%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Keon Coleman?

Not on these numbers alone. Courtland Sutton projects 71 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (8.9 a game over 8 games) and Keon Coleman 72 (8.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Keon Coleman.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Courtland Sutton over Keon Coleman in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Courtland Sutton at 8.8 points and Keon Coleman at 7.7, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Courtland Sutton this week yet, so his 8.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (8.3, 8.9 and 9.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keon Coleman this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (8.4 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Courtland Sutton yet. His market-based projections were 8.3, 8.9 and 9.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Keon Coleman yet. His market-based projections were 8.4 and 7.0 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Courtland Sutton 1.1 points ahead of Keon Coleman on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Courtland Sutton and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 27.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Keon Coleman and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 25.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Courtland Sutton has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.

Keon Coleman is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Courtland Sutton played 77 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 5 against LAC: 50 of 62 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Courtland Sutton, Week 6 against SEA: 46 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 7 against ARI: 43 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 45 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 8 against KC: 4 targets and 4 catches for 53 yards.

Through Week 8, Keon Coleman played 68 percent of BUF snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 23 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Keon Coleman, Week 4 against NE: 46 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 116 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keon Coleman, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keon Coleman, Week 6 against LV: 58 of 68 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 59 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keon Coleman, Week 8 against BAL: 3 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keon Coleman played 13 games for BUF and scored 102.4 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR60.

He caught 38 of 59 targets for 404 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 316 air yards.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Keon Coleman?

    Not on these numbers alone. Courtland Sutton projects 71 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (8.9 a game over 8 games) and Keon Coleman 72 (8.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Keon Coleman.

  • Should I drop Keon Coleman for Courtland Sutton?

    Not on these numbers alone. Keon Coleman projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (8.0 a game over 9 games) and Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Keon Coleman.

Should I drop Courtland Sutton?Should I drop Keon Coleman?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board