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Start Tyler Shough or Dak Prescott? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.

Start Dak Prescott over Tyler Shough

Prescott projects lower, 17.7 to 18.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 64 for Prescott, 147 for Shough.

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs SF

Market projects
17.7
fantasy pts
SF D vs QB
15.7
9th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
18.3
fantasy pts
CAR D vs QB
17.4
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
93 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dak Prescott for Tyler Shough?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Dak Prescott 127 (18.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over Tyler Shough. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Tyler Shough rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dak Prescott over Tyler Shough in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 17.7 points and Tyler Shough at 18.3, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Dak Prescott still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 64 against 147, and that outweighs a gap this size. Tyler Shough's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 252 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 0-1 interceptions and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (6, 7, 6 and 6 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 266 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (11, 11, 10 and 8 market sources).

That puts Tyler Shough 0.6 points ahead of Dak Prescott on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Tyler Shough and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Dak Prescott and DAL host SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against SF, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Shough has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 341 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 70 of 72 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 33 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 7 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 9 against CLE: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 265 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 52 yards.

Through Week 9, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 368 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 74 of 74 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 9 against IND: 79 of 79 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 335 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dak Prescott for Tyler Shough?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Dak Prescott 127 (18.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over Tyler Shough. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Tyler Shough for Dak Prescott?

    No. Keep Tyler Shough: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Dak Prescott 127 (18.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over Tyler Shough.

Should I drop Tyler Shough?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board