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Start Dalton Kincaid or Dallas Goedert? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:51 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid

Goedert projects lower, 10.9 to 11.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 121 for Goedert, 158 for Kincaid.

Start

TE · PHI · vs NYG

Market projects
10.8
recent weeks avg
NYG D vs TE
12.5
16th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
67%
Through Week 8
Target share
17%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
11.1
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs TE
6.9
fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Dallas Goedert 18 (2.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Dallas Goedert at 10.8 points and Dalton Kincaid at 11.1, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Dallas Goedert still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 121 against 158, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Dallas Goedert this week yet, so his 10.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (8.8, 12.7 and 11.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (12.0 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 10.2 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dallas Goedert yet. His market-based projections were 8.8, 12.7 and 11.0 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 10.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.3 points ahead of Dallas Goedert on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 6.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and no touchdowns a game against MIN.

Dallas Goedert and PHI host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 12.5 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 45 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Dallas Goedert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Dallas Goedert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid played 68 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Dallas Goedert played 67 percent of PHI snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dallas Goedert, Week 5 against JAX: 43 of 62 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 38 yards.

Dallas Goedert, Week 6 against CAR: 52 of 64 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards.

Dallas Goedert, Week 7 against DAL: 48 of 62 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 48 yards.

Dallas Goedert, Week 8 against WAS: 1 carry for 2 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dallas Goedert played 15 games for PHI and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.

He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 357 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Dallas Goedert 18 (2.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Dallas Goedert?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Dallas Goedert 18 (2.3 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dallas Goedert over Dalton Kincaid.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board