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Start Dalton Kincaid or Kyle Pitts Sr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:16 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid

Pitts projects lower, 9.4 to 9.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 84 for Pitts, 158 for Kincaid.

Start

TE · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
9.4
recent weeks avg
KC D vs TE
17.8
5th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
75 of 100 at TE
Snap share
59%
Through Week 9
Target share
18%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 60 (8.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 9.4 points and Dalton Kincaid at 9.7, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyle Pitts Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 84 against 158, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr. this week yet, so his 9.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (8.7, 8.6 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.2 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 8.7, 8.6 and 10.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Kyle Pitts Sr. is 0.3 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.3 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 17.8 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 66 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC.

By points allowed to the position, Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 9 against MIN: 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Through Week 9, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 59 percent of ATL snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 7 against SF: 38 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 8 against TB: 29 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 9 against CIN: 42 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 60 (8.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Kyle Pitts Sr.?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 60 (8.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid.

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid?Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board