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Start Travis Kelce or Dalton Kincaid? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Travis Kelce: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid

Start

Travis Kelce

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
11.6
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
10.4
6th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
78%
Through Week 8
Target share
19%
Through Week 8
Sit

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
11.1
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs TE
6.9
fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce?

Not on these numbers alone. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games) and Travis Kelce 107 (11.9 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Travis Kelce at 11.6 points and Dalton Kincaid at 11.1, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Travis Kelce this week yet, so his 11.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.7, 11.1 and 10.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (12.0 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Travis Kelce at ADP 113 and Dalton Kincaid at 158.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Travis Kelce yet. His market-based projections were 12.7, 11.1 and 10.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 11.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Travis Kelce is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 10.2 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Travis Kelce 0.4 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Travis Kelce and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 10.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 48 yards and 0.1 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 6.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and no touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Travis Kelce is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Travis Kelce played 78 percent of KC snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Travis Kelce, Week 4 against LV: 50 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 6 against LAC: 40 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 53 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 7 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 8 against DEN: 7 targets and 5 catches for 67 yards.

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid played 68 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Travis Kelce played 17 games for KC and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 428 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Travis Kelce?

    Not on these numbers alone. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games) and Travis Kelce 107 (11.9 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid.

  • Should I drop Travis Kelce for Dalton Kincaid?

    Not on these numbers alone. Travis Kelce projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.9 a game over 9 games) and Dalton Kincaid 105 (11.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Travis Kelce over Dalton Kincaid.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board